Week Ahead Economic Calendar: 29 September - 3 October 2025

The final week of September and the opening of October 2025 present a dense calendar of economic releases across major global markets. From critical employment data in the United States to inflation readings across the Eurozone, this week's economic indicators will provide essential insights into global economic momentum as Q4 2025 begins.

According to sources like Bloomberg Economics, employment data remains the primary driver of Federal Reserve policy considerations, whilst Eurozone inflation readings continue to guide European Central Bank decisions.  As such, market participants may want to scrutinise these releases for directional cues on monetary policy and economic growth trajectories.

Monday, 29 September 2025

Asia-Pacific Focus:

• South Korea: 2-Year Treasury Bond Auction, Annual Inflation Rate, Current Account Balance

• Japan: Bank of Japan (BoJ) Japanese Government Bond Purchases, Final Leading and Coincident Economic Indexes

• Singapore: Export and Import Price Indices (Year-over-Year)

• Russia: Monthly Unemployment Rate

The Asian session opens with South Korea's inflation data, which Reuters analysts expect to remain within the Bank of Korea's target range. Japan's economic indicators will provide insights into the nation's economic recovery trajectory.

Wednesday, 1 October 2025

Major Market Movers:

• United States:

  • ADP Employment Report (8:15 AM EST) - Private sector employment preview

  • ISM Manufacturing Index (10:00 AM EST) - Manufacturing sector health indicator

  • Construction Spending (10:00 AM EST) - Infrastructure investment trends

• Canada: Bank of Canada Summary of Deliberations - Central bank policy insights

• Eurozone: Preliminary Consumer Price Index (5:00 AM GMT) - Inflation snapshot

Wednesday is the week's most data-heavy day. According to Federal Reserve Economic Data analysis, the ADP Employment Report typically provides a preview of Friday's comprehensive jobs data.

Thursday, 2 October 2025

Manufacturing and Employment Focus:

• United States: Factory Orders and final Durable Goods Orders (10:00 AM EST)

• Japan: August Unemployment Rate (7:30 PM JST)

• Eurozone: August Unemployment Rate (5:00 AM GMT)

Thursday's releases will illuminate manufacturing strength across major economies, with particular attention on US factory orders as an indicator of business investment sentiment.

Friday, 3 October 2025

Week's Climax - Employment Data:

• United States: Employment Report including Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM EST), ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite Index (10:00 AM EST)

• Japan: S&P Global Services and Composite PMI

• Singapore: S&P Global PMI

Friday's US Employment Report stands as the week's marquee release, with economists from major investment banks closely monitoring wage growth and participation rates. (Source: Trading Economics)

Regional Economic Outlook

United States

The week's US data releases centre on employment and manufacturing health. Nonfarm payrolls data remains crucial for Federal Reserve policy decisions, whilst ISM indices provide sectoral economic insights. Recent Fed communications suggest continued focus on labour market dynamics.

Eurozone

Preliminary inflation readings will guide European Central Bank policy expectations ahead of October's monetary policy meeting. European equity markets typically respond to these inflation prints, with particular sensitivity to core inflation measures.

Asia-Pacific

Regional unemployment rates and PMI readings across Japan and Singapore will provide insights into Asia's economic momentum. South Korea's inflation data adds to the regional economic picture, with implications for Asian currency pairs. (Source: SPGlobal)

More Data to Keep in Mind

Monday, 29 September

• Spain CPI

• UK Mortgage Approvals 

• US Pending Home Sales 

• Dallas Fed Manufacturing 

Tuesday, 30 September

• Australia Rate Decision 

• Czech Republic GDP

• Denmark GDP

• France CPI

• Italy CPI

• Germany CPI

• Poland CP

• UK GDP 

Wednesday, 1 October

• Austria CPI

• Eurozone CPI

• Eurozone PMI 

• France PMI

• Germany PMI

• India PMI

• Italy PMI

• Singapore Home Prices

Thursday, 2 October

• Australia Trade

• Italy Unemployment 

• Switzerland CPI

Friday, 3 October

• France PMI 

• Singapore Retail Sales

Earnings Reports

In addition to the above, traders may want to keep tabs on the following releases:

Monday, 29 September

• Carnival Corporation

• Jefferies Financial Group

Tuesday, 30 September

• Nike

• PayChex

Wednesday, 1 October

• Levi Strauss

• NovaGold

Why This Week Matters

This week's global economic calendar is critical for investors and policymakers tracking the pace of economic recovery, inflation pressures, and employment trends across major economies. The data may influence central bank decisions and have ripple effects on currency values, stock markets, and global trade dynamics.

Staying attuned to these releases will be essential for anticipating market movements and adjusting strategies in the days ahead.

Potential Market Implications and Trading Considerations

This week's economic calendar presents multiple catalysts for market volatility. Employment data historically drives US dollar movements, whilst Eurozone inflation affects European indices and currency valuations.

Conclusion

The week of 29 September delivers a comprehensive view of global economic health through employment, inflation, and manufacturing data. Market participants should prepare for potential volatility around key releases, particularly Friday's US Employment Report and Wednesday's Eurozone inflation data.

These releases will likely influence central bank policy expectations and provide directional guidance for Q4 2025 market positioning. Traders and investors should monitor these indicators for insights into economic momentum and potential market opportunities.

*Past performance does not reflect future results. The above are only projections and should not be taken as investment advice.