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Netflix Trading Guide: How to Trade Netflix Shares CFDs

Date Modified: 22/09/2024

For traders looking to incorporate the market movements of a global entertainment industry leader into their personal portfolio, Netflix may be a good option. In this article we will delve into this innovative firm’s share price history, potential trading strategies, and more. Let’s go:

Two people and the word Netflix written on a board

TL;DR

  • First Considerations: Evaluate Netflix's market position, potential price volatility, and the inherent risks of CFD trading.
  • Popular CFD Trading Strategies: Utilise fundamental, technical, or combined analyses to understand Netflix's financial health and market dynamics.
  • Trading Netflix Stock Price: Trade directly by buying physical shares or speculate on price movements using CFDs without owning the shares.
  • Getting Started with Netflix Share CFDs: Learn CFD trading basics, open an account with a provider like Plus500, choose your position, and adapt your strategy to market conditions.

An Overview of Netflix and NFLX shares

Netflix (NFLX) is a subscription-based streaming service which has transformed the global entertainment industry. Founded in 1997 as a DVD rental company competing with Blockbuster, Netflix transitioned to digital streaming in 2007, setting a new standard for home entertainment and establishing itself as a significant industry player.

From its beginnings as a mail-order DVD service, Netflix provided an alternative to traditional video rental stores. In January 2007, the company launched its on-demand streaming service, allowing subscribers to watch movies and TV shows instantly online. This shift marked a new era in media consumption, driving significant growth in its subscriber base. By April 2024, Netflix had over 260 million paid memberships around the globe.

Netflix's strategy emphasises original content, setting it apart from competitors. Producing and distributing its proprietary films and TV series has bolstered its standing, and original productions now comprise half of its U.S. library, earning critical acclaim and numerous awards.

Netflix's global accessibility, with content in multiple languages, has solidified its industry position. Additionally, Netflix's expansion into mobile gaming broadens its place in the worldwide entertainment ecosystem, reflecting its adaptability and ongoing innovation in the entertainment landscape.

History of Netflix’s Stock Price

Netflix's share price history has experienced significant fluctuations since its initial public offering (IPO) in 2002. Originally listed at $15 per share (adjusted for stock splits), the stock saw modest gains during the success of its DVD rental service. The real momentum began in 2007 when Netflix shifted to a streaming model, leading to increasing subscriber growth and convincing market participants of the stock’s potential.

Throughout the 2010s, Netflix expanded into international markets, driving both revenue and share price growth. In 2013, the release of its first original series, "House of Cards," marked the beginning of its content creation journey, further boosting investor confidence. The 2015 7-for-1 stock split made shares more accessible to a broader range of investors. However, the stock has also sharply declined, particularly when Netflix missed subscriber growth targets following key earnings reports.

The 2020 COVID-19 pandemic significantly boosted Netflix's share price as global lockdowns led to a surge in streaming and a rise in subscriber numbers. Market saturation, inflation, and interest rate changes have introduced volatility. In 2022, Netflix experienced significant declines due to stalled subscriber growth. However, the stock rebounded in 2023, rising 65% over the year, driven by introducing a lower-priced, advertising-supported service and a crackdown on unpaid account sharing. In the first half of 2024, Netflix’s share price gained a further 38% in value.

While understanding the ebbs and flows of Netflix's share price over the years is essential, it is also crucial to grasp the significant differences between traditional share trading and engaging in the share CFD market. Investors can trade Netflix shares directly or opt for Contracts for Difference to speculate on price movements without owning the actual shares. While trading shares involves buying and holding the stock, CFD trading allows investors to attempt to capture the movements of rising and falling markets by leveraging their positions. However, it comes with higher risk due to potential losses. Furthermore, CFD traders do not possess the rights and responsibilities of traditional shareholders.

The Advantages of Trading Netflix Share CFDs

Trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) on Netflix shares offers several potential advantages:

  1. Exposure to a Leading Global Brand: Netflix is a dominant player in the video streaming industry with subscribers numbering in the hundreds of millions worldwide. This extensive subscriber base generates billions in annual revenue, making Netflix a robust entity in the market. Its ongoing international expansion, strategic partnerships, and diversified income streams suggest a promising long-term outlook.
  2. Advantages of Large-Cap Stock: As of July 2024, Netflix's market capitalisation exceeds $280 billion, providing stability and liquidity typical of large-cap stocks. Its established business model, experienced management, and abundant market information make it a reliable investment.
  3. Short & Long Positions: CFD trading allows participating in both bullish and bearish market scenarios, providing possible opportunities in various market conditions.
  4. Strong Financial Performance: Netflix boasts a solid financial standing, strong balance sheet, positive cash flows, and a good credit rating.
  5. Continuous Business Expansion: Netflix's growth strategy focuses on increasing subscribers and enhancing earnings through original content production, expanding its content library, and partnering with regional producers to appeal to local markets. This continuous expansion strategy bodes well for its prospects.
  6. Diversified Revenue Streams: Netflix is actively pursuing multiple income streams beyond subscriptions. Its ad-supported revenue model, licensing fees, and merchandise sales add to its revenue diversification, enhancing its financial stability and long-term potential.

The Disadvantages of Trading Netflix Share CFDs

On the other hand, trading CFDs on Netflix shares also comes with notable risks and drawbacks that must also be taken into account:

  1. Overvaluation and Price Volatility: Analysts have highlighted that Netflix shares may be overvalued relative to its earnings potential, leading to significant price volatility. This volatility can pose risks for CFD traders, especially in the short term.
  2. High Content Production Costs: Netflix's focus on original content production and exclusive distribution rights incurs high costs, potentially impacting profitability. Overreliance on a few successful titles also poses a risk.
  3. Intense Competition and Market Saturation: The streaming market is becoming increasingly saturated, with competitors like Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Disney (DIS), and HBO. This saturation may lead to slower subscriber growth, affecting Netflix’s market position and stock performance.
  4. Business and Operational Challenges: Netflix has faced criticism for its password-sharing crackdown, cancellation of popular series, and removal of titles from its content library. Regulatory risks and potential bans in various countries also pose challenges.
  5. Leverage Losses: Netflix share CFD trading carries the inherent risk of significant financial losses due to the nature of CFD trading’s leverage mechanism.

All in all, while CFD trading allows investors to speculate on Netflix's share price movements without owning the actual shares, it also comes with higher risk, as losses can exceed the initial investment. Traders should weigh these pros and cons carefully and consider their risk tolerance and market outlook before engaging in CFD trading on Netflix shares.

How to Trade on Netflix Shares with CFDs

For those looking to engage with Netflix's stock price movements without the need to own the actual shares, CFD trading presents an attractive option.

Owning Netflix Shares vs Trading Netflix CFDs

The purchase of traditional shares of Netflix stock provides direct ownership in the company. In contrast, trading CFDs on Netflix lets you speculate on the share price's ups and downs without owning the actual shares. CFDs are agreements with a CFD provider, such as Plus500, where you profit from the difference in Netflix’s share price between opening and closing your position.

Example of Trading CFDs on Netflix Shares

Imagine Netflix shares are valued at $400 each, and you wish to trade the equivalent of 10 shares (total value: $4,000). By trading CFDs, you can leverage your position, allowing you to trade Netflix without committing the entire $4,000 or possessing the shares.

With a leverage ratio of 1:5, you would need an initial margin of 20% ($800) to start a CFD trade on 10 Netflix shares. If Netflix's price rises above $400, you profit; if it falls below $400, you incur losses. It's crucial to remember that overnight funding fees and other charges can affect your total profit or loss from the trade.

Different Netflix Share CFD Trading Methods

When trading Netflix share CFDs, a range of trading approaches are available to mix and match:

  • Fundamental Analysis: Evaluating Netflix's financial health, market position, and business prospects to determine its intrinsic value.
  • Technical Analysis: Examining Netflix's stock price movements, trading volume, and historical patterns to predict future price directions.
  • Combined Analysis: Using technical and fundamental analyses to comprehensively understand Netflix's stock dynamics.

After selecting their preferred analysis method, traders can choose a trading style based on their risk tolerance, investment timescale, and availability:

  • Swing Trading: Holding positions for days or weeks to capture medium-term price fluctuations, offering flexibility amidst broader market movements.
  • Day Trading: Engaging in short-term positions held for minutes to hours, requiring constant monitoring due to its high-risk nature.
  • Position Trading: Holding positions over extended periods to capture longer-term market trends and shifts, aligning with a longer investment horizon.

By selecting an appropriate analysis method and trading style, traders can better navigate the complexities of trading Netflix share CFDs.

How to Trade Netflix Share CFDs with Plus500

Below, you’ll find a concise guide to trading Netflix shares with CFDs:

  1. Take Time to Learn: Make sure you understand how CFD trading works and evaluate its potential benefits and significant risks.
  2. Open & Fund Your Account: Register with Plus500, complete the verification process, and make your first deposit.
  3. Access the Platform: Log in to the Plus500 trading platform.
  4. Decide Your Position: Choose whether to open a buy position on Netflix share CFDs (go long) or short-sell them (go short).
  5. Monitor Your Position: Keep track of your position’s potential movements.
  6. Evaluate Your Strategy: Assess your personal trading strategy and decide how to adapt it to the volatile environment of Netflix share CFD trading.

By following these steps and carefully considering your trading strategy, you can effectively engage in trading Netflix share CFDs.

Conclusion

Netflix has revolutionised the media consumption landscape and solidified its position as a global leader in the streaming industry. Its share price history reflects significant growth and volatility, influenced by strategic shifts, market expansions, and competitive pressures. Trading Netflix share CFDs provides an opportunity to capitalise on price movements without owning the actual shares, but it also comes with inherent risks. Understanding both the advantages and challenges of Netflix share CFDs is crucial for informed trading decisions.

FAQs

Popular trading strategies for Netflix shares include fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and combined analysis, which utilise both methods.

When trading Netflix shares, consider factors such as the company's financial health, market position, business prospects, competition, market saturation, and potential price volatility.

You can trade Netflix stock price either by purchasing physical shares for direct ownership or by trading CFDs to speculate on price movements without owning the actual shares.

To start trading Netflix Share CFDs, learn about CFD trading, open and fund an account with a provider like Plus500, access the trading platform, decide your position, monitor your trades, and continually assess your trading strategy.

The recommendation to buy, hold, or sell Netflix shares depends on individual analysis and market conditions. Some analysts highlight risks of overvaluation and market saturation.

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