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Wall Street Rebounds Amid Fed Speculation and Tech Surge

New York indices’ trading results broke recent trends on Monday, 9 September, by heading upwards. Let’s take a look at what may have been behind Wall Street’s latest rally:

An image of Wall Street indices charts

9 September’s Trading Turnaround

On Monday, 9 September, Wall Street traders pushed key American indices upward following a string of losses. The S&P 500 is coming off its worst week since early 2023 and broke this recent trend with an almost 1.2% rise by the end of the day. Similarly, the Dow Jones (USA 30) surged by 1.2%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NQ) climbed by nearly 1.2%. Among major companies listed in New York, Nvidia (NVDA), Tesla (TSLA), and Amazon (AMZN) saw significant gains, emphasising tech stocks’ key role in Monday’s stock recovery.

This rebound helped the major indices recover some losses following the ambiguous August jobs report, which left investors uncertain about the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. The data neither confirmed nor denied expectations, leaving the market speculating whether a rate cut of 0.25% or 0.50% will be in the offing at the American central bank’s policy meeting, which is set to conclude on 18 September.

Moreover, traders’ attention may now be shifting to the upcoming consumer price index (CPI) release, due today, Wednesday, 10 September, which is expected to provide further insights into how the Federal Reserve may act about interest rates. This will be followed by a producer inflation report on Thursday, both of which are key indicators ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision on 18 September. Whether Monday’s trading trends will continue or expand beyond Wall Street remains to be seen. (Source: Yahoo Finance)

AMD to Lead the Charge?

Many savvy market watchers may be wondering whether Big Tech companies can keep the index momentum going with their share prices. According to some analysts, for tech stocks to stay on an uptrend, a combination of factors will be necessary. These include a reduction in interest rates from the Federal Reserve and a surge in innovation that will fire up earnings growth. The sector may be in need of significant tech advancements, particularly in areas like artificial intelligence (AI) and customer monetisation, to achieve higher growth rates that could sustain investor interest.

At the same time, the tech sector continues to unveil new innovations. Salesforce (CRM), for instance, is preparing to release AI-powered digital agents to automate customer service, while AMD (AMD) has introduced a new line of AI chips set to be available through 2026.

The latter firm's CEO, Dr. Lisa Su, believes that the AI sector is far from reaching its full business potential, with AMD poised to challenge Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market. Speaking at the Goldman Sachs (GS) Communacopia & Technology Conference on 9 September, Su announced an accelerated AI roadmap with new product releases planned annually. This includes the upcoming MI325 AI chip, the MI350 in 2025, and the MI400 in 2026.

Furthermore, she highlighted the potential for AMD to play a major role in training and inference for large language models (LLMs), a market currently led by Nvidia. AMD's MI300x chip, launched last year, features 192GB of memory and 153 billion transistors, positioning it as a strong competitor when it comes to crucial LLM-related functions. So far this year, AMD's stock has declined in value by over 6%. With technological advancements continuing, competition in this industry could stay tough into the future. However, it is anyone's guess whether AMD's path upward and that of the tech sector and major US indices as a whole will be maintained going forward.

Conclusion

The strength of the current market rally may depend, in large part, on the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decisions and continued innovation within the tech sector. As it is as yet opaque how these key factors will play out, traders and investors alike will have to watch developments closely to keep a handle on coming market shifts.

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